Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.071203 2.362866 2.683244 3.061663 3.496933 3.982510 4.566115
2025-10-12 1.736366 2.138795 2.617687 3.231193 3.998669 4.930132 6.151079
2025-10-19 1.465045 1.924184 2.508551 3.310515 4.388311 5.794833 7.782845
2025-10-26 1.260602 1.749752 2.409555 3.370971 4.746888 6.661240 9.554884
2025-11-02 1.061384 1.545118 2.231225 3.284501 4.877167 7.221714 10.983142
2025-11-09 0.885872 1.344344 2.023830 3.115926 4.849658 7.533188 12.074243
2025-11-16 0.779891 1.229673 1.923863 3.088114 5.022167 8.159795 13.742850
2025-11-23 0.686603 1.120718 1.815824 3.027720 5.126269 8.681073 15.307226
2025-11-30 0.648390 1.094626 1.835242 3.176526 5.596000 9.873261 18.222802
2025-12-07 0.603275 1.050450 1.817515 3.256335 5.951947 10.910643 21.017728
2025-12-14 0.548408 0.982151 1.748880 3.234010 6.114857 11.612084 23.274234
2025-12-21 0.487640 0.895903 1.637591 3.116948 6.079455 11.926090 24.796122
2025-12-28 0.466755 0.882171 1.660133 3.263418 6.590616 13.410111 29.060508
2026-01-04 0.448714 0.871712 1.687627 3.423659 7.154357 15.090609 34.069477
2026-01-11 0.422386 0.841829 1.673483 3.496644 7.545156 16.464661 38.642719
2026-01-18 0.397133 0.811067 1.653705 3.554641 7.911194 17.839835 43.478554
2026-01-25 0.360415 0.752334 1.569208 3.460095 7.918669 18.395705 46.395841
2026-02-01 0.320622 0.682656 1.453585 3.280460 7.701453 18.385556 47.854874
2026-02-08 0.297230 0.646044 1.405618 3.250293 7.837683 19.255794 51.817367
2026-02-15 0.273614 0.606392 1.346501 3.186134 7.880835 19.898746 55.279916
2026-02-22 0.267737 0.606281 1.377038 3.342964 8.506724 22.146958 63.766108
2026-03-01 0.257197 0.594184 1.378295 3.427079 8.955725 23.996803 71.463711
2026-03-08 0.240794 0.566456 1.339323 3.403451 9.112189 25.067254 76.999353